Economic and hiring outlook, third quarter 2008: A McKinsey Global Survey

Although executives indicate that their companies have greater pricing power, it isn’t translating into stability for workers. Hiring plans have dwindled over the past year. Almost 30 percent of the executives now expect their companies to shrink the size of the workforce in the next six months (Exhibit 4), up from 18 percent a year ago. Executives in manufacturing and financial services, where workforce cutbacks have been more common than in other industries, are even more likely than executives in general to say the workforce will decrease than increase. By contrast, 43 percent of the executives in energy expect hiring levels to rise—by far the most in any industry. It seems likely that energy companies are drawing on their enormous profits to continue exploring.